Showing posts with label Biota. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Biota. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

Technical Analysis - Bird Flu, Biota and Uptrend


A Bus Driver in Southern China Dies of Bird Flu. Could the Deadly Virus Strike Again?

Hong Kong Urges Bird-Flu

With all the news of Bird Flu perhaps it is time to look at Biota again.

A quick technical look on the graph below shows that it is possibly developing an uptrend. Without any complex technical indicators, price action alone does seem to indicate that things can get interesting and worth a more detailed look. Recall the Weinstein method and the CAN-SLIM method talks about getting in early at such price signals.

The pink smooth curve is the stop signal, the green curve is the moving average, black curve is the main price action.
The smaller graph below is a proprietary indicator showing that it is in an uptrend (RT value > 0.0)

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

News: Small Caps, Biotechs, Rare Earths, ETFs

Quite a few articles on today's news about Small Caps, speculative and alternative investments.

Highlights a couple of takeover, acquisitions or collaboration of Australian biotechs by giant foreign pharmaceuticals. Notable ones include Acrux, Chemgenex, Mesoblast, Biota and Cellestis.
Life-science battlers have a spring in their step


This article talks about a few small caps funds and the fact that it is getting harder to choose a winning small cap. Also provides a historical view of small caps that have become huge successes, like Cochlear, Super Cheap Auto and The Reject Shop.
Small-caps scarce but worth wait: a lack of floats has tightened the market


Highlights a few highly speculative mining stocks. Miners include those with Australian as well as foreign operations, like in Africa.
Mining stocks flying under the radar


Introduces a new rare earths company called Data Motion, which used to be an IT company.
Rare earths worth a shot for IT minnow


Finally an article on ETF which has gained worldwide popularity among investors. This article however, cautions about ETFs. In particular synthetic ETFs carry much more risk since they are based on derivative and leveraged products, rather than just mirroring the index.
Exchange traded funds under global scrutiny

Thursday, August 28, 2008

News - Alerts and Biotechs writeup

Two quick items on this post:

1. Get emails sent to you when your company made any announcements. You can do this by signing up to www.newsalerts.com.au .

2. An article by "The Australian" entitled "Drug trials revive interest in biotechnology sector" introduces a few local biotechs.

The article is found mirrored here:
Tim Boreham | August 20, 2008

THE biotechnology sector is showing tepid signs of life, having outperformed the overall market in recent months. Of course that isn't saying too much and the trends are patchy, but at least the sector doesn't rival the Gaza Strip as a no-go zone any more.

Such is the improving sentiment that a few of the minnows are muttering about a capital raising. For instance, vaccine champion Avantogen (ASX code: ACU) might have a chequered history, but this hasn't stopped new management from doing the broker rounds ahead of an equity raising of up to $8 million.

If anything, the established players have been doing it toughest. Biota, for instance, abandoned its monstrous damages action against Glaxo, while CSL's share price took a hit after US partner Merck revealed disappointing sales of its Gardasil cervical cancer vaccine.

Elsewhere, some interesting clinical trial results have maintained patchy interest in the sector.

There's always a sane reason not to get too carried away by early-stage results from thinly capitalised companies, but there's a few to which warm-hearted Criterion will extend the benefit of the doubt. Take Living Cell Technologies (LCT), the Kiwi outfit working on a diabetes cure based on the pancreatic islets of specially bred pigs.

In July, Living Cell reported the first five diabetes sufferers implanted with the said porcine cells showed no adverse side-effects but also displayed better than expected benefits.

The Moscow-based trial saw a reduction of daily insulin requirements of 23 per cent to as much as 100 per cent, while four out of five maintained "good control" of blood sugar levels. Living Cell has a $10 million and (probably) the capacity to raise equity, so it's at least one to watch.

Then there's our skin disorder friend Clinuvel (CUV), which gained US fast-track approval for one of its key compounds.

Clinuvel announced the US regulator, FDA, had granted "orphan drug" status to afamelotide (formerly CUV1647), aimed to treat a rare sun allergy called EPP.

Clinuvel's next step -- and there's always a next step -- is to apply to undergo a commercial trial in the US. Still, it's backed by $25 million and has a legitimate seat in the "most likely" camp.

Investors in regenerative medicine pioneer Mesoblast (MSB) are having a blast after nine patients had their broken legs healed with the use of their own stem cells. The ground-breaking trial took place at Royal Melbourne Hospital, with Mesoblast holding the right to commercialise the know-how. It's all very promising, but any revenues of course are years away.

On a more downbeat note, cancer drug Progen (PGI) has benched its experimental liver cancer drug PI-88 after years of attempts to develop the drug. It's a major disappointment in that Progen has raised almost $100 million over 18 months, with nothing to show but $77 million of change.

On a more modest scale, Biosignal (BOS) is headed for a spell in the naughty corner after disappointing your columnist about thrice too often.

The bacterial slime buster is working on an extract from seaweed that prevents the bugs from multiplying on surfaces by impeding their ability to communicate.

The trouble is, the company lacks focus in terms of developing end-uses for the extract, with a number of collaborations -- including one with Californian New Age squillionaire Paul Hawkens -- falling through.

Recommendation-wise, it's hard to be too proscriptive across what's a highly eclectic sector. As a general rule, your columnist leans to cashed-up advanced-stage prospects.

Candidates include Clinuvel, Avexa (targeting HIV), Chemgenex (leukemia), Neuren (neuroscience), Novogen (cancer) and Pharmaxis (bronchiectasis and cystic fibrosis)

According to Biotech Daily analyst Marc Sinatra, Chemgenex's drug "looks the most likely to generate big returns for investors".

He adds that any could surprise. "One thing for sure is that at today's prices all of them look like good value," he says.

The Australian accepts no responsibility for stock recommendations. Readers should contact a licensed financial adviser.