Stocks to watch - for post-election

Over recent days / week, the market has simply gone down for irrational reasons. Once the election is over, and the chosen candidate anointed, the market will bounce back.

Here are a fe stocks to consider for the bounce back.

MNF
s32
WHC
DDR
CVW*
PDZ*
TAG*
CCP
FMG
CSR
SGM

Volume Spike - 21 Oct 2016

Here are a list of Volume Spike stocks on 21 Oct 2016
CLV - Clover Corp Ltd - Healthcare and Equipment services

It is undervalued by about 10%.
The volume spike also caused positive trend in the technical analysis. Its PE is about 22 and growth rate forecasted at 30.

Ride the trend as it lasts....

Stocks to Watch - 28 Aug 2016

.... NIL .......
..... Take a breather this week ......

Towards the end of last week, there appears to be a bearish divergence. The main stock index seems to be trading sideways, but there are other indicators where the trend are clearly declining.

Remember where the stop losses are for each stock. These should have been calculated before placing the buy order.

Stocks to Watch - 22 Aug 2016

Volume spike shares:

CMI - CMI Ltd
AHX - Apiam Anml Hlth

These two stocks had a recent spike in volume accompanied by a jump in share price. Watch over the next few days. Note that these have very low volume in general.

Both have PEs of less than 7. Both have projected high growth rates above 10%. Both are regarded to be of good value based on future earnings outlook. CMI has a divided yield of over 8%

Stocks to Watch - Mid week update - 10 Aug 2016

ASL - Ausdrill - stop at 0.89
CCP - Credit Corp - stop at 13.58
GNG - GR Engineering Services - stop at 1.20
ACQ - Acorn Capital - stop at 0.93

All four are undervalued with respect to future earnings forecast, All on a positive trend. Three out of four has high growth rates. All four has at least one volume spike over the last month.

The stop numbers represent the suggested selling point, based on today's closing price as the buy point. 

Stocks to Watch - 6 Aug 2016

3. CTN - Cotango
2. CCP - Credit Corp
1. MLX - Metals X  - sell 1.65
WHC - whitehaven  - sell 1.40
ASL - Ausdrill (Vol spike) - sell 0.835


Long Term RS Descending
*NST - Northern Star
MTS - Metcash
PMV - Premier Investment
*ARB - ARB Corp
*ALU - Altium
WEB - Webjet
MIN - Mineral Resources

Stocks to Watch - 1 August 2016

RSG - Resolute Gold
MLX - Metal X
AST - 1. Austnet
CTN - Contango
SGP - Stockland
SRG - SRG Limited
CII - CI Resources
MGR - Mirvav

Market is going for all time high. No bad news on the horizon. This market may have a long ways to go.

Stocks to Watch - 18 July 2016

3. GPT - GPT Group (ASX300)
APX - Appen
SIQ - Smartgroup (Consumer Services)
1. CII - CI Resources - diversified industrial company with interests in Phosphate Mining, Infrastructure and Fuel services on Christmas Island

Gold Stock have been performing solidly over the last few months in Australia. Over the last 5 days however, there have been a general decline in these gold high flyers.
RSG - Resolute Mining
NST - Northern Star Resources
RRL - Regis Resources
EVN - Evolution Mining
DRM - Doray Minerals


3. MLX - Metal X - (ASX300) -  huge spike on Fri 15 Jul
ELX - Ellex Medical Laser - spiked 3 days ago
1. CGL - Citadel - spiked over two weeks ago

The Industry at its peak is: Consumer Staples (Household and Personal)
In this industry the stocks of note are:
4. AHY - Asaleo Care (ASX300) - Looking good in most aspects.
BWX - BWX Ltd  - Avoid. Though positive in many respects, it had a large volume sell-off a few weeks ago.

Stocks for week of 11th July 2016

CII - CI resources
SRG - SRG Ltd
DRM - Doray Minerals
APX - Appen Ltd
SIQ - Smartgroup Corp
MLX - Metal X
WHC - Whitehaven Coal

13 July 2016 - ELX has large volume movements that supports the price spike. 

Stocks to Watch - 2 July 2016

The following stocks have volume spike over the last week:
WAT - Waterco
ITQ - Inteq
CCV - Cash Converters

FRM - Farm Pride Foods - general positive uptrend, good earnings forecast.
CNU - Chorus

Stocks of Note - 18 June 2016

Resolutte Gold - Volume spike 400% from under 4m to over 16m shares on 17Jun Friday. Closing with a positive. This is in line with its broader sector of Gold stocks being seen as a safe haven of market continuity. OBV is also on an increasing trend in the 3 month period to date.

Adacel - ADA in a good increasing trend. EPS, OBV, MA and price trending positively.

Other stocks going well over the last 3 months are: Cochlear COH, Southern Cross Media SXL, Orocobre ORE,


ASX300 - long term SAFE stocks in positive trend are:
Stockland SGP, Credit Corp Group CCP, Tassal Group TGR, ARC Corp ARB.

Rankings, Trending and Deltas

Most of have followed or read about share trading would know about Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis. The former uses various financial ratios (eg debt to equity) while the latter uses stock charting techniques (eg moving averages).

However, there is another method based on relative ranking. For whatever techniques used, when there is a quantity that is calculated for each stock, then the stocks can be ranked according to this quantity. Instead of looking at the value (say PE ratio), we rank the stocks according to this value (say PE ratio). So the ranking is 1, 2, 3, ....  where 1 is the best stock, based on that value.

Then we can analyse the movement of ranking, and pick the stocks that have moved in this ranking. Just to emphasise again, this ranking can be for any values or quantities, whether from Technical or Fundamental Analysis.

Here are some strategies for Ranking Analysis.

1. Top 10 stocks - search Ranking <= 10

2. Stock that moved inside the Top 10 just last week (looking for crossover) -
search Ranking - Trending - week2 > 10, week1 < 10

3. Improved Rank on % the most
search Ranking - Delta - 10 days - sorted Ascending

4. Ranking has improved, ie positive % change
search Ranking - Delta - 10 days < 0.0%

The two key searches are Trending and Delta. They need to be used for Ranking only. When using Trending and Delta, for an ordinary quantity, where bigger is better:

1. Value = X, this is the good level

2. The value crossover a certain threshold
search Value - Trending - week2 < X, week1 > X

3. Improved Value the most
search Value  - Delta - 4 weeks - sorted Descending

4. Value  has improved, ie positive % change
search Value - Delta - 4 weeks > 0.0%

Stocks to watch - 9 Mar 2016

Note to Self :

in ASX 300
ABC - 5.14 - sell at 4.86
AJA - 5.89 - sell at 5.48
JBH - 23.1 - sell at 20.59
SBM - 2.14 - sell at 1.785


Non ASX 300
VTG - 3.00 - sell at 2.68 

Stocks to Watch - 9 Feb 2016 - 5 stocks to defy the downturn

VTG - Vita Group (Retailing)
DRM - Doray Energy (Gold)
AGL - Australian Gas Light
IGB - iShares Treasury
IAF - iShares Composite Bond

The Share Market has had one of those down days today - worldwide. Just up until today, things seem to be settled a little, then the dramatic drop today. In such a market, the one advice is to stay out, unless one plan to short some stocks.

Surprising the five mentioned above has been doing quite well recently. And for investors who wish to park their money somewhere, then these five are worth investigating further.

AGL - a venerable gas company, whether you call it blue chip or not, it has been around for years. It has all the advantages of incumbency over new players who would face barriers of entry. It is not recognized as a growth stock usually - but take a look at its graph below - growth chasers wouldn't complain about AGL's recent performance while others are falling. Good for small growth and to ride out the storm.

Doray Energy - Gold miners have been doing well in the past 6 months due to the worldwide market downturn. This small gold miner is interesting in various respects. Not only is it trending up nicely, it does have positive earnings and a low PE. Definitely warrant deeper investigation. Aimed at the Speculator.

VTG - This group has been doing well recently. Though the last few days, it has been retracing, the general performance has been good over the past year. May be a good choice for moderate growth and to hold during periods of uncertainty.

IGB and IAF - both of these are ETFs in Bonds. For those who really want to play it safe, yet may still want a positive outcome during market downturn, these are two ETFs worth looking at. As the general rule goes, if the stock market is going down, people tend to switch asset classes and bonds is one class to consider.

Stocks to watch - 31 Jan 2016

Update
1 Feb 2016

VTG - Vita Group BUy 2.52 Sell 2.19
CKF - Collins Food
CTX - Caltex
WAX - WAM Research
CAR - Carsales.com



31 Jan 2016

Stocks that are on the rise, but also not that speculative.

VTG - Vita Group BUy 2.52 Sell 2.19
PBP - PRobiotec. Buy 0.435, Sell 0.37
AGL - Agl Energy Buy 18.6, Sell 17.33


More speculative, but has been rising very well at least since one week ago.

ANR - Anatara  Buy 1.78, sell 1.55
CAT - Catapult Buy 2.07, Sell 1.80