Sunday, May 3, 2009

Technical Analysis - Update Dow and All Ords Weekly Gann Charts

It is about 2 months since the last post on the analysis on the Dow Jones index and the Aussie All Ords index. In that time, the market has climbed significantly on renewed confidence. The consecutive weekly gains left such an impression on some that there is talk that we have reached the bottom of the GFC (Global Financial Crisis). Instead of random speculation, let's turn to our weekly charts.

In the previous post,
http://ozstock.blogspot.com/2009/03/technical-analysis-update-dow-and-all.html
the DOW seem to be right in between a set of Gann bear angles and bull angles. The All Ords at that time was testing an important angle for support.







In the current situation, the All Ords seemed to have not only found the support but has bounced up from it. The Dow stopped in the middle of the 2 angle supports and also bounced upwards strongly.

So are there any indications of support or resistance in the near future? Looking at the Dow first, it is almost at the point of touching the (pink) angle from the top of the 2007 boom, which is a potential resistance. For the All Ords, although it has crossed over the support angle emphatically, it is approaching the top of the 20 day maximum envelope, almost like being sandwiched between the support angle and the envelope.

Two other historical pattern to note are: i) the "Sell in May" adage; ii) the Gann seasonal date of May 5, both of which is acting against the current trend.

No comments: