Saturday, June 18, 2016

Stocks of Note - 18 June 2016

Resolutte Gold - Volume spike 400% from under 4m to over 16m shares on 17Jun Friday. Closing with a positive. This is in line with its broader sector of Gold stocks being seen as a safe haven of market continuity. OBV is also on an increasing trend in the 3 month period to date.

Adacel - ADA in a good increasing trend. EPS, OBV, MA and price trending positively.

Other stocks going well over the last 3 months are: Cochlear COH, Southern Cross Media SXL, Orocobre ORE,


ASX300 - long term SAFE stocks in positive trend are:
Stockland SGP, Credit Corp Group CCP, Tassal Group TGR, ARC Corp ARB.



Sunday, June 5, 2016

Rankings, Trending and Deltas

Most of have followed or read about share trading would know about Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis. The former uses various financial ratios (eg debt to equity) while the latter uses stock charting techniques (eg moving averages).

However, there is another method based on relative ranking. For whatever techniques used, when there is a quantity that is calculated for each stock, then the stocks can be ranked according to this quantity. Instead of looking at the value (say PE ratio), we rank the stocks according to this value (say PE ratio). So the ranking is 1, 2, 3, ....  where 1 is the best stock, based on that value.

Then we can analyse the movement of ranking, and pick the stocks that have moved in this ranking. Just to emphasise again, this ranking can be for any values or quantities, whether from Technical or Fundamental Analysis.

Here are some strategies for Ranking Analysis.

1. Top 10 stocks - search Ranking <= 10

2. Stock that moved inside the Top 10 just last week (looking for crossover) -
search Ranking - Trending - week2 > 10, week1 < 10

3. Improved Rank on % the most
search Ranking - Delta - 10 days - sorted Ascending

4. Ranking has improved, ie positive % change
search Ranking - Delta - 10 days < 0.0%

The two key searches are Trending and Delta. They need to be used for Ranking only. When using Trending and Delta, for an ordinary quantity, where bigger is better:

1. Value = X, this is the good level

2. The value crossover a certain threshold
search Value - Trending - week2 < X, week1 > X

3. Improved Value the most
search Value  - Delta - 4 weeks - sorted Descending

4. Value  has improved, ie positive % change
search Value - Delta - 4 weeks > 0.0%


Thursday, March 10, 2016

Stocks to watch - 9 Mar 2016

Note to Self :

in ASX 300
ABC - 5.14 - sell at 4.86
AJA - 5.89 - sell at 5.48
JBH - 23.1 - sell at 20.59
SBM - 2.14 - sell at 1.785


Non ASX 300
VTG - 3.00 - sell at 2.68 

Wednesday, February 10, 2016

Stocks to Watch - 9 Feb 2016 - 5 stocks to defy the downturn

VTG - Vita Group (Retailing)
DRM - Doray Energy (Gold)
AGL - Australian Gas Light
IGB - iShares Treasury
IAF - iShares Composite Bond

The Share Market has had one of those down days today - worldwide. Just up until today, things seem to be settled a little, then the dramatic drop today. In such a market, the one advice is to stay out, unless one plan to short some stocks.

Surprising the five mentioned above has been doing quite well recently. And for investors who wish to park their money somewhere, then these five are worth investigating further.

AGL - a venerable gas company, whether you call it blue chip or not, it has been around for years. It has all the advantages of incumbency over new players who would face barriers of entry. It is not recognized as a growth stock usually - but take a look at its graph below - growth chasers wouldn't complain about AGL's recent performance while others are falling. Good for small growth and to ride out the storm.

Doray Energy - Gold miners have been doing well in the past 6 months due to the worldwide market downturn. This small gold miner is interesting in various respects. Not only is it trending up nicely, it does have positive earnings and a low PE. Definitely warrant deeper investigation. Aimed at the Speculator.

VTG - This group has been doing well recently. Though the last few days, it has been retracing, the general performance has been good over the past year. May be a good choice for moderate growth and to hold during periods of uncertainty.

IGB and IAF - both of these are ETFs in Bonds. For those who really want to play it safe, yet may still want a positive outcome during market downturn, these are two ETFs worth looking at. As the general rule goes, if the stock market is going down, people tend to switch asset classes and bonds is one class to consider.



Chart forAGL Energy Ltd (AGL.AX)

Chart forDoray Minerals Ltd (DRM.AX)

Chart forVita Group Ltd (VTG.AX)

Chart foriShares Treasury (IGB.AX)


Chart foriShares Composite Bond (IAF.AX)









Monday, February 1, 2016

Stocks to watch - 31 Jan 2016

Update
1 Feb 2016

VTG - Vita Group BUy 2.52 Sell 2.19
CKF - Collins Food
CTX - Caltex
WAX - WAM Research
CAR - Carsales.com



31 Jan 2016

Stocks that are on the rise, but also not that speculative.

VTG - Vita Group BUy 2.52 Sell 2.19
PBP - PRobiotec. Buy 0.435, Sell 0.37
AGL - Agl Energy Buy 18.6, Sell 17.33


More speculative, but has been rising very well at least since one week ago.

ANR - Anatara  Buy 1.78, sell 1.55
CAT - Catapult Buy 2.07, Sell 1.80

Wednesday, November 11, 2015

Baby Milk White Gold, Bellamy A2 Milk



Bellamy's Organic white gold: what is in baby formula?

China expansion on cards for a2 Milk

A few companies that can benefit from the latest Baby Formula Milk craze.

Powder Milk Companies:
A2M - A2 Milk
BAL - Bellamys

Powder Milk Ingredients Supplier
BKL - Blackmore's
BGA - BegaCheese

Other Australian products in Chinese sights
TWE - Treasury Wines

* All stock quotes are on the ASX and the code ends in .AX

Symbol Price REC Value Growth PE Sales $M MktCap $M Rating
BKL.AX 165.91 Buy 124.6 29 35.3 471.62 2858.63 8.2
BAL.AX 9.58 Buy 2.7 38 73.69 126.25 925.72 8
TWE.AX 73.16 Buy 5.5 18 26.52 1962.1 5284.8 6.05
BGA.AX 5.52 Buy 2.68 -6 29.05 1112.63 842.35 5.45
A2M.AX 0.76 Hold 0.19 5 76 130.66 481.33 5

The rating is from 0 to 10. Anything above 5 is a Buy, below 5 is a Sell.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do not make financial decisions based on this content.
Disclaimer: I will be buying a few of these soon ;)